College Football Best Bets: Week 7
Overall Record: 24-24-1
Last Week: 2-5
Week 7 of College Football and I am bringing to you all my top best bets. Last weekend was extremely rough, coming out of week 6 with a 2-5 record. Now, sitting at .500 overall on the season, this is a huge week to bounce back and get back on the winning side of things. This week, is the first week of the season where we will start getting more and more in conference matchups. There are 6 top 25 games today, which should make for an eventful Saturday.
Yes, even with such a good slate of games today, it does not mean it will be easy to find winners. This makes it even harder to find winners on the board. With so many big time matchups, that means smaller spreads, and that means trickier lines. None of that matters, tho. I am bringing all winners in week 7, and we will go over .500 by the end of the night.
As always, below is the list of different picks I have. If you want winners, come back here every Saturday morning before you click submit on all of your college football bets. I will dive into all the trends, data, stats, and matchups, so you don’t have to. Here we go. Let’s have a day, here are my Week 7 best bets.
Boon’s Lock of the Week (4-3 record)
Dog of the Week/Upset (1-5)
Overs Play of the Week (4-3 record)
Unders Play of the Week (5-2 record)
BIG TEN Play (2-5 record)
“Super Conference” Play (4-2)
Bonus Play (4-3-1 record)
Boon’s Best Bet of Week 7: #4 Clemson @ Florida St. 7:30pm
Bet: #4 Clemson -3.5
I have zero clue why Clemson is only a 3.5 point favorites in this game on the road vs. Florida St. It seems like such a steal getting the 4th best team in the country to lay 3.5 points that it might be too obvious of a bet. Realistically, this will end up being the easiest bet you make of the week and maybe even the season.
Florida State is coming off of 2 straight losses, both losses being to the only two ranked opponents that they have faced all year. I still feel like I am missing something, seeing such a low line in this game. Yes, it is a big road game for Clemson. But this won’t change the talent that this Clemson team has. They are averaging almost 40 points per game and giving up just under 20 points per game. I believe Clemson will win this game by at least a touchdown. Easy winner.
Dog of the Week/Upset: #7 USC @ #20 Utah 8:00pm
Bet: #7 USC +3.5/ML +135
If you have been following my bets for the whole season, you will know the team that has cracked my best bet almost every week was this USC team out in Cali and this week they crack my week 7 best bets, just in a different spot. I have been extremely high on this team, with Lincoln Riley and Caleb Williams leading them. On the other side, I have also been a huge supporter of this Utah football team all season long. If anyone has a good eye on this game, it has to be me. I already know how this game will play out, so don’t overthink it. Take away the road atmosphere, take away the records, and just look at the guys on the field.
USC talent is far better than Utah, and that’s what this game will come down too. Utah has been in this similar spot two times already this season, and lost both games. They struggle vs. dual threat and elite QBs, and Caleb Williams will be the best they see all year. I love seeing a plus sign by USC in this matchup, free money.
Overs Play of The Week: Charlotte @ UAB 3:30pm
Bet: Over 63.5
Some trends I am finding every week of college football so far, is you can find 2-3 teams all season that will always hit the over for you. That’s where I am at with Charlotte. I have had Charlotte (and UAB) in my overs play a few times now this season. Surprisingly, it has nothing to do with how many points they put up, but more somehow many points they give up.
This Charlotte team is giving up 46 points per game and on the other side of it they are scoring over 20 points. UAB scores around 35 PPG, so I am expecting them to give us at least a 40 piece today and Charlotte to throw us 20, and we will be sitting in a great spot. Give us points.
Under Play of The Week: #10 Penn State @ #5 Michigan 12:00pm
Bet: Under 49.5
Alright, I hate betting unders. I especially hate betting unders when my team is playing in the game. But, this game screams under to me, and I would be dumb not to trust my gut and hammer this under. Both of these teams have been great on the defensive end all season long. Penn State is giving up 15 PPG and Michigan is giving up only 11 PPG so far this season. I don’t like rooting against Michigan scoring touchdowns, but I think this will just be a nose to nose battle all 4 quarters and end potentially under 40 points today. I think you could be looking at a 27-13 Michigan victory today.
BIG TEN Play: Wisconsin @ Michigan State 4:00pm
Bet: Over 49.5
Back to back BIG Ten bets that I love from me. I had to give out a pick for this weekend’s Michigan State game, and this was an easy pick. Wisconsin has gone over in their last 4 games this season. With the way Michigan State has been on defense, giving up just over 27 PPG on the season and 36 PPG so far in the BIG Ten, I believe Wisconsin will most likely be able to put up at least 30 points on this Michigan State defense. This game may go over 50 points by the end of the 3rd quarter.
Super Conference Play: #3 Alabama @ #6 Tennessee 3:30 pm
Bet: #3 Alabama -7.5
Everyone, and I mean everyone, is on going to be all over Tennessee getting over a touchdown today. This is one of my plays where I just want to fade the public. I am always against betting on Alabama. But let me tell you what, it is an absolute thrill to finally be on Alabama’s side today. I had to throw them in my week 7 best bets. I got my bet in earlier this week at -7.5 while Bryce Young was questionable.
As I am writing this, the line has already moved to -9.5 (which I still like). This is a game where Alabama always pulls in the whole country to go against them, a team like Tennessee, undefeated and at home. And then at halftime of this game, the whole country is going to be saying how they should have bet Bama while they’re up by 3 touchdowns. I am picking the right side, fading the public, and hammering Alabama -7.5 today. In Saban we trust today.
Final Week 7 Best Bets Bonus Play: #16 Mississippi State @ #22 Kentucky 7:30pm
Bet: #22 Kentucky +4
Kentucky is coming off of 2 tough losses and Mississippi State is coming off of two big wins. But, Kentucky is getting Will Levis back for this game and sitting at home, I believe this is a perfect spot for Kentucky to knock off Mississippi State. Mississippi State is a high scoring game while on the other side Kentucky is only giving up 16 PPG so far this season.
I wouldn’t say this is a must win game for Kentucky, but if you look at their schedule, they do have #6 Tennessee on the schedule next week and if they drop this game, then they are looking right at a 4 game losing streak. This is going to be a shootout, and come down to the last possession. But I do think Kentucky can keep this game within 4 points and possibly even win the game outright. That’ll wrap up my week 7 best bets, let’s win every bet.
For all my picks, follow me on Twitter: @boonersports
Photo Credit: © Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports