Week 14 of the NFL is here and I am bringing to you all of todays best bets for all of the games. Last week was one of our best weeks yet, going 7-4, hitting 4 out of 5 TD scorers, and missing the parlay by 1 leg. Heading up on the final stretch of the season, were going to keep this momentum rolling and end the season net positive on the year. Looking at all of the matchups today, their are over 6 teams on bye weeks, but their are still a handful of big time matchups including our own here in Detroit with the Lions vs. the Vikings.
Like I talked about before, we are hot right now in the NFL. We are still sitting over .500 on the season and sitting in the positive money as of now. I am seeing the board better than ever. Now, through week 13 we are sitting 53-49-2 in all my NFL picks. Let’s get this thing rolling. Here are all of my favorite bets:
Jets +10 (@ Bills)
I love this pick and I love this game. For some reason, Vegas is making the Jets double digit dawgs. If you have been following all season, you know I love double digit dawgs, and to get a playoff team in this spot is a gift. A lot of people are going to be thinking this Bills team will blow them out and have a bounce back week. Nope. Jets keep this game close, and another factor in this game. There is suppose to be some snow hitting in Buffalo which should slow things down and keep this one close.
Giants +7 (vs. Eagles)
This is another game where you will see me fading the public. Everyone seems to be on the Eagles in this spot and for some reason it is fishy to me. The Giants havent been great the last few weeks, but they are not a bad football team. I think this Giants team has a chance to even win this game outright. Also, another tip here, there is suppose to be some rain in this game, so this should stay close.
Texans +17.5 (@ Cowboys)
Alright, this play seems crazy, but I am ready for the challenge. Like I mentioned above, I promised I would take all double digit dawgs. This rule also applies with the worst team in the league. The in state matchup between Houston and Dallas. I went back and looked at all of Houstons games and only found one all year where they lost by 17+. Let’s remember this isn’t college, this is the NFL, even on a bad roster these guys can play.
Chargers +3.5 (vs. Dolphins)
SNF play. Once again, this is just a fade the public play. All of the bets on this game are on the Dolphins, but all of the Money is on the Charger. Right there it shows that the sharp money is coming in on the Chargers. As much as I wanted to take the Dolphins, this Chargers team is desperate to get a win and push for a playoff spot. Playing at home in SoFi Stadium, this place is going to be rocking and Herbert is going to lead this team probably to an outright win.
Vikings/Lions Over 51.5
The game of the day for us here in Detroit. Just like last weeks Lions game, my favorite play in the game is the over. The Lions offense has been rolling for the last 5 weeks and have shown no sign of slowing down. On the other side, this Vikings defense has struggled almost as bad as Detroits defense. Both of these teams are at the bottom of the league in yards per game given up. With that, I think we all are expecting a high scoring shootout.
Jets/Bills Over 43
This was my scariest play that I wanted to give out today. Both of these defenses are only giving up 17 PPG. But, there was something telling me that this game will be in the 40’s down the stretch. I feel like Josh Allen and this Bills defense are starting to get a feel for things and put points up on the board again. The only worry in this game is if the Jets offense can keep up with them.
Jaguars/Titans Over 41
There is only one reason I picked this game. The Jaguars defense. To start the season they seemed to be rolling, but in the last 7 games, this defense is giving up over 27 PPG. On the other side of the ball, they are still finding ways to score the ball, averaging 21 PPG. Even with a really good Colts defense, I see this game flying over today.
Chiefs/Broncos Under 44
I think that the Broncos under every week going forward is going to be a lock. Even with them playing the Chiefs, this defense seems to hold teams under 20 PPG. The best part is, on the other side of the ball, this Broncos defense is only averaging 13 PPG right now. This 44 number seems way to high in this game. The Chiefs can score 30 Points today and we still cash this ticket.
NFL PLAYER PROPS:
Najee Harris Over 50.5 Rush Yards
Joe Burrow Over 300.5 Rush/Passing Yards
Austin Hooper Over 2.5 Receptions
D’Andre Swift Over 35.5 Rushing Yards
Zonovan Knight Over 35.5 Rush Yards
Darius Slayton Over 45.5 Rec. Yards
Nick Chubb -120
Amon-Ra St. Brown -113
Stefon Diggs -130
Rachaad White +210
Tyreek Hill -148
Lions/Vikings o41.5 Alt. Spread
Amon-Ra St. Brown o7.5 receptions
Devin Singletary o10.5 rush attempts
Tom Brady o249.5 Yards
Chargers +10.5 Alt Spread
+ 1272 Parlay
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Photo Credit: © Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports