Week 12 of the NFL and we are starting to get into crunch time of the season for some teams. We are starting to see playoff graphics all over. Whether your team is in the hunt, in the playoffs, or already eliminated. All of those can have some big affects on betting some of these games as we get rolling the next few weeks. Some team matchups are going to be meaning a lot more than other, and on the other side, a lot of teams might be looking to loss to boost their draft position. I will dive into all of these scenarios around the NFL and all of the data to find the best bets so you don’t have too.
Last week, we had a great week on the books and my picks went 9-4-1 in the NFL . After the last Sunday we are now sitting well over .500 and positive units on the season, and just looking to grow that number. Now, through week 12 we are sitting 43-35-2 in all my NFL picks. Todays picks will be a little odd, just based on the fact we already had 3 Thanksgiving games a few days ago. So, we don’t have as many games being played today and takes away from some of our player props. We are going to keep this hot streak rolling today and not look back to close out the season. Here are all of my favorite bets:
Ravens -3.5 (@ Jaguars)
This play seemed too easy to me. The Ravens are coming off of a 4 games win streak while the Jags have lost 6 of their last 7 games. It seems like Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are still going through a lot of injuries especially in the backfield with no Gus Edwards being questionable. I still believe tho, with a guy like Lamar Jackson leading them, they should be able to get an easy road win today over the struggling Jags.
Titans +1 (vs. Bengals)
The disrespect in this game is unreal. I can not figure out why Vegas is still deciding to disrespect the Titans at home in this spot. The Bengals are without their top two players on offense with no Joe Mixon and no Ja’Marre Chase. Some how, this Titans team is still underdogs in their own city. I believe the Titans will win this gam outright and we won’t have to even stress about the 1 point Vegas is giving us.
Buccaneers -3 (@ Browns)
Now, this is the time of the year we all need to start switching back on to Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I have been on them all season and have been disappointed. But, the last two weeks they have come out on top in the win column. No matter who they played, or how they won, they got the job done and that’s all that matters. It just takes a couple wins for Tom Brady to get his team back on track. Vegas is giving you the winner in this spot by making the Bucs a 3 point favorite on the road. Take it and don’t ask questions and let Tom Brady make you money.
Packers +6.5 (@ Eagles)
I know, no one in Detroit wants to be betting on the Packers. But, I wanted to give you a SNF play and this line seems to fishy to me. Packers only a 6 point underdog in Philly seems weird, especially after Rodgers has come out and said he is playing with a broken finger. Even with the Packers already having 7 loses, most of those loses have been one possession games and tonight will be the same. Rodgers and this Packers will find a way to keep it close and we have seen the Eagles struggle pulling away in games the last two weeks.
Bears/Jets Under 38.5
This might be my favorite play of the day. Justin Fields most likely not playing today vs. one of the best defenses in the league. It is just screaming to take the Under in this spots. The Bears have actually been one of the best over teams in all of Football this season. But, like I said before, if they don’t have Fields today this Jets defense is going to eat all day long.
Falcons/Commanders Over 40.5
Now, this might end up being an ugly game to watch today. But both of these teams seem to always find a way to keep games close and make it interesting. These two defenses give up 20 PPG and also 25 PPG. You may think, won’t it be hard for these bad offenses to put the ball in the end zone? Nope. Each team may find the end zone 3 times today in this game and you will see a high scoring game vs. two average teams.
Chargers/Cardinals Over 48
Both of these teams have been great on the over all season long. The biggest reason why being there defenses tho. The Chargers are giving up 26 PPG while the Cardinals are giving up 27 PPG. Both of these teams struggle to keep teams out of the end zone, and I believe we will see a very similar situation today.
Packers/Eagles Over 46.5
Another Sunday night football play for you all. I already gave you the Packers in this game, but I really love this over as well. The Eagles all season long have seemed to find a way to hit there over in games, and I believe we will see that down the stretch tonight. Even with the Packers struggling I believe they find a way to get keep up with this Eagles team and get the ball in the endzone. We are going to be watching a shootout in SNF tonight.
NFL PLAYER PROPS:
Trevor Lawrence o21.5 Completions
Jeff Wilson o14.5 Rec Yards
Russell Wilson o213.5 Passing Yards
Tyler Boyd o54.5 Rec Yards
Kenyan Drake o28.5 Rush Yards
Mark Andrews +125
Derrick Henry -159
Davonte Adams -122
Travis Kelce -186
Christian Watson +265
Bears/Jets Alt u46.5
Raiders Alt +10.5
Christian McCaffrey o36.5 Rec Yards
Lamar Jackson o8.5 Rush Attps.
Randall Cobb o31.5 Rec Yards
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Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports