Week 10 of the NFL and I am back with all of my favorite best bets and some player props that I will be playing today. I am doing the dirty work and diving into all the data and analytics to try and find the best plays for the full slate of games today, so you don’t have to.
Last week, my picks went 5-5-1. Sitting right around .500 and we are looking to get build on last week. Now, through week 9 I am 27-26-1 in all my NFL picks. You might think that is not the best record, but gambling wise we are sitting positive units on the year. We have a decent slate today with Buccaneers vs. Seahawks in Munich to start the day and ending the day with Chargers @ 49ers. All the game picks and player props are all straight bets, and at the bottom I have my parlay for today. Let’s get started, here are my picks for NFL week 10:
Buccaneers -2.5 (vs. Seahawks)
This is the game that will kick off Sunday at 9:30 am played in Munich. A lot of people are really high on this Seahawks team right now, and on the other side are really low on the Buccaneers while they have struggled. But, I am going to roll with the team that is struggling. Yes, Tom Brady might be going through a divorce and his offense looks different. But I am confident this team is going to start turning things around. Coming off of a huge comeback win against the Rams, they are looking to build off of that and win their second straight.
Bills -3 (vs. Vikings)
With Josh Allen currently being questionable, Case Keenum potentially will get that start for the Bills against his former team. Even with Keenum leading this Bills team, I am still confident that they go on to win this game. Playing in Buffalo might be one of the hardest road games in the NFL. On the same side, Keenum still has one of the best weapons in the game with Stefon Diggs. Give me the Bills to get back on track in this game.
Lions +2.5 (@ Bears)
Here we go. Everyone, and I mean everyone, seems to think that the Lions are going to struggle containing Justin Fields today. Well, I am here to tell you, that they are indeed going to struggle containing Justin Fields. But that will not matter today. Justin Fields can run for 200 yards and the Bears still may lose this game. He hasn’t showed yet that they can be a threat in the air. The Detroit Lions will put up points today, and I don’t see the Bears defense keeping up down the stretch.
Packers +4 (vs. Cowboys)
I hate betting on the Packers, but the whole world is on the Cowboys. Fading the public is the play in this game. Packers sitting as underdogs at home seems to be a steal. Yes, I know the Packers have lost 5 straight games. But almost everyone of those games were only one possession games down the stretch. Give me the Packers to keep it close.
Browns/Dolphins Over 49
I love betting overs in the NFL. This game is going to end up being one of the highest scoring games of the day. We all know that the Dolphins can put up a ton of points, especially the last two weeks scoring over 30 points in both games. But, surprisingly the Browns are currently 5-2-1 no there overs so far this season. We might see both of these teams put up 30 points.
Lions/Bears Over 48.5
Really, I don’t think I need to really explain this pick. Both teams give up a ton of points on the defensive side of the ball. The Lions giving up 29 PPG and the Bears giving up 24 PPG. On the other side of the ball these two offenses have caught some sort of stride at different points of the year and showed they have what it takes to score. Look for the Lions to score 30+ points today and maybe even give up 30 points on top of that.
Colts/Raider Under 41
I have been hammering (responsibly) the Colts unders all season long. They are sitting at 1-8 on there overs so far this season. With a new QB at the helm and new Head Coach Jeff Saturday taking over, I don’t see this offense really finding its spark this week. The Raiders have also really struggled to get anything going so far this season.
Chargers/49ers Over 45.5
Last play of the day. I wanted to hand a my SNF pick in this article. Since the 49ers have brought in Christian McCaffery, this offense has found a spark. This week that offense even gets better with Deebo Samuel coming back. Yes, these are two pretty good defenses that are matching up. But there are going to be a lot of point in this game with CMC and Ekeler each getting in the end zone.
Justin Fields (CHI) o61.5 Rush Yards
Jaylen Waddle o70.5 Rec. Yards
Juju Smith-Schuster o62.5 Rec. Yards
Christian McCaffrey o37.5 Rec. Yards
D’Andre Swift -103
Dameon Pierce -122
Dalvin Cook +112
Cooper Kupp -109
Austin Ekeler -110
CMC TD Score
Jonathan Taylor o73.5 Rush Yards
Kirk Cousins o21.5 Completions
NY Giants ML
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